Whereas most observers would most likely say sure, different candidates have emerged who’re threatening to steal the highlight and supply a brand new and improved model of Trumpism. Few politicians have garnered as a lot consideration as Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis. The governor, who has lately been featured in magazines comparable to The New Yorker, is at present thought-about essentially the most critical menace to a Trump reelection bid.
In a brand new ballot carried out by the College of New Hampshire, DeSantis comes out on high amongst possible GOP main voters within the Granite State at 39%, with Trump at 37%.
To high it off, DeSantis will not be planning to hunt Trump’s endorsement for his reelection marketing campaign as governor, in keeping with a Politico report, fueling hypothesis that he may very well be gearing as much as run towards the previous president for the Republican presidential nomination in 2024.
There’s good purpose for Trump to be apprehensive. On the subject of each coverage and rhetoric, DeSantis can match comfortably inside the orbit of the trendy GOP, having promoted among the core themes and speaking factors that got here to the floor throughout the Trump presidency. In the course of the pandemic, for instance, DeSantis was on the heart of the combat that emerged round Covid-19 precautions, and he signed a invoice into legislation that prevented organizations from imposing vaccine mandates.
The governor has additionally pushed for stringent immigration insurance policies, sought to decontrol companies, railed towards “vital race concept” and signed a invoice to forestall sure instruction about sexual orientation and gender in school rooms.
Many Republicans preferred the preventing, anti-establishment mentality that Trump dropped at the White Home. However DeSantis has an aggressive posture to match, and his governing fashion meshes nicely with the combative angle of the Republican citizens.
So what may give DeSantis an edge over Trump amongst Republican voters?
The Florida governor, who was educated at Yale and Harvard Legislation Faculty, has displayed a grasp of public coverage and governance that Trump has by no means proven. As Dexter Filkins writes within the New Yorker, “Each males declare to channel the craze of an citizens that feels sneered at and dismissed by liberal establishments. However whereas Trump, together with his lazy, Barnumesque persona, tasks a basic lack of seriousness, DeSantis has an intense work ethic, a formidable intelligence, and granular understanding of coverage.” Although many Trump supporters dismiss the significance of experience, there would nonetheless be nice political attraction to a troublesome, right-wing conservative who can even joust on the small print of coverage.
If DeSantis runs, he’ll accomplish that with rather more authorities expertise below his belt than Trump had in 2016. After serving as governor, in addition to a US Home Consultant, DeSantis will give Republican voters a chance to assist a candidate who’s pink to the core, with decorum and expertise besides. It additionally helps that as a governor, he can nonetheless place himself as an outsider to Washington. And if DeSantis faces off towards Trump within the Republican main, the Florida governor will inevitably paint the previous President as a part of the institution.
Trump, in fact, is weighed down by his personal baggage. The devastating findings of the Home choose committee on January 6 might assist DeSantis. Whereas there are actually Republicans who will see the committee’s investigation as a witch-hunt, others within the get together who acknowledge the ugliness of the US Capitol assault may want a candidate who is not, so far as we all know, instantly related to the try and overturn the election.
The governor can be drawing assist from numerous quarters. Many figures in Rupert Murdoch’s conservative media empire are beginning to tout DeSantis as a better different in 2024 than Trump. In the meantime, Politico reported that DeSantis is securing monetary assist from a few of Trump’s largest donors.
And his timing may be excellent. Though DeSantis was pilloried by the nationwide press for rejecting vaccine mandates, lockdowns, and faculty closures, the nation has now entered a interval of the pandemic the place an increasing number of Individuals are prepared to stay with the dangers of the virus. On this context, among the governor’s extra radical selections — which got here earlier than the vaccines had been extensively out there — might now seem much less so.
In fact, Trump might burst the DeSantis bubble if he formally publicizes his reelection bid. Trump is more likely to command a lot media consideration and generate such electoral fervor that DeSantis may rapidly discover himself sitting on the sidelines. Latest SCOTUS selections, together with the one flattening New York state’s gun regulation legislation, will remind Republican voters of what Trump delivered whereas in workplace.
Many up-and-coming governors — like former Texas Gov. Rick Perry in 2012, for instance — are mentioned as thrilling presidential prospects, solely to utterly fizzle out because the race unfolds and their vulnerabilities develop into painfully clear below the nationwide highlight.
For now, Trump possible understands that the governor of Florida is a significant political menace. DeSantis may simply be the Republican who can current a cleaned-up model of Trumpism and mount a robust problem in 2024.